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  1. Mrs. Nancy Hall on November 12, 2020 at 3:22 am

    The numbers seem to have caught up with Trump, so that all that really remain to be resolved in the Federal election are the two Senate runoff races in Georgia and 13 seats in the House. (Trump apparently is unconcerned about any of those.)

    At the moment, at 3am, Thursday, 12 November, with just under 150 million votes counted — from about 62.5% of the estimated 240 million eligible voters — Biden holds a lead of 5,208,810 votes: He has won 50.8%, or 77,558,792, of the votes thus far counted to Trump’s 47.4%, or 72,253,211. While the number of remaining uncounted votes is unknown, and minor additions, subtractions, and corrections undoubtedly remain to be made, it seems highly unlikely that Trump’s popular vote can overtake Biden’s.

    But Biden has unquestionably won the electoral vote, too, despite still uncounted votes, adjustments, and Trumps highly dubious claims of irregularities. Here’s how:

    There are 535 electoral votes at stake, 259 of which have been confidently awarded to Biden, and 217 of which have been awarded to Trump. The remaining 72 are contested or as yet unresolved: Arizona, 11; Georgia, 16; North Carolina, 15; Pennsylvania, 20, WI, 10.

    Biden leads in Arizona by a steadily decreasing 0.3%, or 11,635 votes.
    Biden leads in Georgia by an also decreasing 0.3%, or 14,057 votes.
    Trump leads in North Carolina by a decreasing 1.3%, or 73,176 votes.
    Biden leads in Pennsylvania by a steadily increasing 0.8%, or 53,244 votes.
    Biden leads in Wisconsin by an increasing 0.7%, or 20,546 votes.

    Without knowing how many votes remain uncounted in any of those states, the likelihood of a change in lead seems slim. The leading percentages in all but North Carolina are very small, and even North Carolina’s is not hefty, but the differences in the numbers of votes are fairly large, especially in North Carolina and Pennsylvania — far larger than usually have been overcome in previous elections by any type of error or fraud or by miscount.

    However, even if Trump were to win North Carolina, which seems likely, and Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin — all possible, but not terribly likely — he would have only 259 electoral votes, the same number as Biden.

    So the candidate who wins Pennsylvania will win the electoral college.

    Which means that it is time for Trump and the elected Republicans who are encouraging his fantasies to face facts, graciously acknowledge Biden’s election, and start meeting their obligations to the nation to do everything possible to abet the smooth formation of and transition to a new administration.

    Our standing and security among the community of nations; the state of the pandemic, the environment, and our economy; and our ability to live at peace and in cooperation with one another now and in the future depend heavily upon acknowledging that the election has been decided, except as mentioned earlier, and proceeding to dig ourselves out of divisiveness, rancor, suspicion, distrust — and failure.

    It’s time to move on, and those who do so will fare much better than those who continue to wrangle, obstruct, and foment unrest. We all are tired; many, many of us are sick and more will be; some of us have suffered or will suffer financial decline if not outright ruin before anything improves. We need some peace and quiet and rest. We must rebuild our ability to discuss our differences and try to resolve them by some method other than riots, destruction, and brandishing firearms.

    All those folks who just got themselves elected or re-elected must stop jockeying for position and do the jobs they were elected to do: lead, solve problems, lay a VIABLE path into the future.

    Let’s each take some time to e-mail your state and federal elected officials about our expectations of them: List our priorities, and demand action. Make clear that we expect diligent, sincere effort, and RESULTS, not promises and hot air.
    If enough people do that, it WILL make a difference! and contain contact addresses for our congressional delegation and for officers of the house and senate, including McConnell, Schumer, Pelosi, and Hoyer. Make clear that we expect diligent, productive effort, leadership instead of grandstanding.

    (state).gov will take you to the web site for your state government, where you will find contact for your governor, members of your legislature, and other state officials.
    Write your mayor, council, county executive, county commissioner, and other local officials, too. is the Biden-Harris transition website. So far, no contact address. I’m hunting for one and will post it as soon as I find it.

    We must govern on more than just election days. All those elected people work for US: We should treat them as we would any other employees. Tell them what we expect them to do, and supervise the progress of their work. Let them know when they’ve done well, and when they haven’t.

    We will have the government we work for and insist upon, just as we’ve had the government we ignored and left to its own devices.

    As nations have from time immemorial, and always will, we will have the government we deserve. Let’s get busy and deserve the best.

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